This work contains contributions by CNS’s Miles Pomper, Allison Berke, Ferenc Dalnoki-Veress, and George M. Moore.
Incentivizing China to see nuclear and risk reduction as beneficial rather than detrimental will require skillful U.S. diplomacy to leverage pressure from allies in Europe and regional states.
One of the few success stories in the elimination of radioactive sources from a contested territory is the Republic of Moldova’s removal of approximately 2,700 disused radioactive materials from the breakaway region of Transdniestria.
Such an agreement will face major negotiating and implementation challenges—not only between Washington and Moscow, but also between Washington and NATO European allies.
Russia’s ability to project power into the region remains limited today, and the status quo seems tolerable. But there are risks to U.S. interests in the future.