Presentations 2013-2015

Hinge Points: An Inside Look at North Korea’s Nuclear Program


In 2013, North Korea stepped up its nuclear and missile program as well as its rhetoric. The changing security threat and considerations are covered in the presentations below.

North Korea’s nuclear program: Status and Prospects

November 12, 2013
Stanford Center at Peking University; Beijing, China; 10-year comparison of nuclear program, visit summaries, 2013 developments, nuclear testing and missile programs, what’s next.

North Korea’s nuclear program

July 23, 2013
IAEA Safeguards Department; Vienna, Austria; North Korea’s path to the bomb, nuclear testing and missile programs, status, prospects, risks, and next steps.

Problems, Prospects, and Recommendations for North Korean Denuclearization

February 4, 2013
Yonhap-Stanford Shorenstein APARC International Symposium; Seoul, South Korea; Status and problems of nuclear and missile program, facility details; options and contingencies.


Little progress was made diplomatically in 2014, while the North conducted additional missile launches and continued to stockpile nuclear materials. The following presentations show how experts stay updated on nuclear progress through satellite imagery and media analysis and give Dr. Hecker’s perspective on what comes next.

North Korean nuclear weapons: Don’t let it get worse

December 11, 2014
13th Korea-US West Coast Strategic Forum; Seoul, South Korea; activities in 2014, nuclear program progress, satellite imagery analysis, 12-year comparison, what next.

Ten-year retrospective of DPRK nuclear program

October 20, 2014
14th PIIC Seminar on International Security; Hangzhou, China; Ten year comparison of nuclear program, satellite imagery, potential by 2016, what to do next.

A comparative look at four nuclear hot spots: India, Pakistan, North Korea and Iran

March 20, 2014
Santa Fe Council on International Relations; Santa Fe, NM; Comparison of four nuclear countries, nuclear risk reduction project, paths to the bomb, creating diplomatic solutions.


As diplomatic progress continued to stall, Dr. Hecker continued to deliver presentations and attempt to make strides on U.S.-DPRK relations normalization. The following presentations give a history of North Korea’s program and updated estimates to nuclear facilities and stockpiles.

DPRK nuclear status

November 4, 2015
Track II China-U.S. Meeting; Beijing, China; Nuclear progress update, estimates of 2015 and by 2020, “three no’s” option.

North Korea builds a nuclear arsenal: A 12-year retrospective

July 7, 2015
Center for Energy and Security Studies; Moscow, Russia; Nuclear program time comparison, potential by 2020, delivery systems, miniaturization, prospects and steps.

Can the North Korean nuclear crisis be resolved?

April 16, 2015
U.S. Pacific Command Headquarters; Honolulu, HI; Nuclear capabilities, short nuclear primer, pre-2010 and post-2010 developments, what now.

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