Presentations 2016-2018

Hinge Points: An Inside Look at North Korea’s Nuclear Program


The DPRK conducted its fourth nuclear test in 2016, sparking further impetus to resolve the nuclear crisis but with few options available. Dr. Hecker gives his current and future estimates of the DPRK’s program and recommends next steps for the United States.

North Korea’s Nuclear Program: A Difficult Case for Policy Advice

October 12, 2016
CISAC Fellows’ Policy Workshop; Stanford, CA; Facets of policy advice: Track II, science diplomacy, scholarly research, government advising, informing public and policy.

Nuclear Security: Science and Policy

June 1, 2016
Science Policy, National Security, and Cybersecurity, Public Policy 151; Stanford, CA; Comprehensive nuclear primer, nuclear nonproliferation safeguards, Iran and North Korea.

Fourth Nuclear Test and Reassessment of 3 No’s and 3 Yes’s

April 11, 2016
Korea Discussion Group Meeting; Stanford, CA; Updated nuclear tests, photos, nuclear program by 2020, what to do next, Danny Russell assessment, steps to implement “three no’s.”


2017 was a dangerous year in U.S.-DPRK relations. Incendiary rhetoric from both sides brought the risk of nuclear conflict to an unprecedented level. Dr. Hecker delivered presentations throughout the year and provided analysis of the crisis of 2017 and next steps.

History of DPRK nuclear and proposal for next steps

December 8, 2017
Korea Institute of Nuclear Nonproliferation and Control (KINAC); Seoul, South Korea; Estimates, North Korea nuclear timeline graphic, lessons learned, steps to prevent detonation.

North Korean nuclear crisis: What, how, when and why – and what to do now?

October 9, 2017
Bay Area Strategic Engagement Seminar, Sandia National Laboratories; Livermore, CA; 2017 nuclear crisis, DPRK nuclear capabilities: production, weaponization, and delivery.

Global Nuclear Hot Spots and the Role of Scientific Diplomacy

April 20, 2017
19th MIT Senior Congressional and Executive Office Seminar, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA; Lessons in scientific diplomacy, international cooperation.


After a year of heightened rhetoric and tensions, 2018 was a year of rapprochement, with North and South Korea walking under the same flag at the Olympics, and the first-ever meeting between a sitting U.S. president and North Korean supreme leader at the Singapore Summit. Dr. Hecker delivered presentations with comprehensive analyses of diplomatic, economic, and nuclear developments and the possibilities for de-escalating the crisis.

US and North Korea: On the road to denuclearization?

August 6, 2018
Los Alamos National Laboratory; Los Alamos, NM; developments during and after 2017, Singapore Summit, history and analysis of opportunities since 1992 with chart.

A Comprehensive History of North Korea’s Nuclear Program and Lessons Learned

May 5, 2018
CISAC, Stanford University; Stanford, CA; Comprehensive technical and political history of North Korea over the past 26 years, detailed assessments of relevant events.

Nuclear/missile timeline for North Korea (Working Draft)

January 9, 2018
Nuclear Threat Initiative; Washington, DC; Nuclear program estimates, nuclear and missile timeline chart, diplomacy and economics chart.

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