Analysis

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CNS AI and Nuclear Proliferation Research Wins Best Paper 2025 Award

Dr. Stephen Herzog’s work is recognized by the Society for Risk Analysis.

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The IAEA’s “Significant Quantity:” What It Is and What It Isn’t

The IAEA’s Significant Quantity (SQ) is a politically sensitive, approximate amount of nuclear material used as a baseline for determining inspection goals and frequency under the NPT, despite being often misunderstood as the minimum required for a weapon.

Securing the Nuclear Supply Chain: Exploring Counterfeiting and Other Risks

Video: This seminar is on a relatively neglected aspect of nuclear security, the supply chain, discussing counterfeiting and other risks and their impact on nuclear facilities.

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Getting Beyond Nuclear Deterrence: A Research Agenda

Dr. Stephen Herzog and co-authors lay out research directions for thinking about a durable nuclear-weapons-free world.

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The Inherent Unpredictability of Nuclear Deterrence

This essay by Jeff Knopf is the lead article in a special issue of The Nonproliferation Review featuring papers from the Beyond Nuclear Deterrence working group.

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Why States Join Multilateral Nuclear Arms Control, Nonproliferation, and Disarmament Treaties

Dr. Stephen Herzog publishes book chapter in volume on nuclear negotiations.

Atomic Responsiveness: How Public Opinion Shapes Elite Beliefs and Preferences on Nuclear Weapon Use

Dr. Stephen Herzog and co-authors investigate how varying levels of public support shape U.S. and U.K. policymakers’ willingness to endorse nuclear use.

Peter Goosen

Tribute to Ambassador Peter Goosen: A Disarmament and Nonproliferation Hero

Retired South African Ambassador Peter Goosen, one of the heroes of the 1995 and 2000 NPT Review Conferences, and a legend in nonproliferation and disarmament diplomacy, passed away on November 4, 2025.

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Reliable Not Reckless

Dr. Stephen Herzog and co-authors analyze how global publics viewed the Biden administration’s extensive but restricted military aid to Ukraine in 2022-2023.

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Finally a Functional Regime: the reconvening of the Nuclear Suppliers Group in the 1990s.

Dr. Ian Stewart, CNS’s Executive Director in Washington, DC, has published a new article in the Journal of Strategic Trade Control.