Hinge Points: An Inside Look at North Korea’s Nuclear Program
2004
Dates: January 6-10, 2004
Yongbyon visit: January 8, 2004
Dr. Siegfried Hecker’s first trip to North Korea came a full year after IAEA inspectors were expelled by Pyongyang from the North’s nuclear facilities following the demise of the Agreed Framework. Hecker, then at Los Alamos National Laboratory, was persuaded to go on that trip by Professor John W. Lewis of Stanford University. For Lewis, that would be his ninth visit (with more to come). With a visit to Yongbyon nuclear research facility on the trip agenda, Hecker’s participation could provide a much needed assessment of the state of the North’s nuclear program. Through conversations with experts and officials, Hecker took a deep dive into the technical and political aspects of the subject to prepare for the visit. He prepared the following memo for Prof. Lewis in preparation for the visit. (Hecker labeled the memo “In Strict Confidence” at the time because he did not want distribution beyond his travel companions).
Thoughts about nuclear discussions with DPRK, Siegfried Hecker, Dec. 23, 2003
The delegation included John W. Lewis, Stanford University; Siegfried Hecker, then senior fellow at the Los Alamos National Laboratory, and Charles “Jack” Pritchard, then at Brookings Institution. W. Keith Luse and Frank Jannuzi, two senior Senate staffers who worked, respectively, with Senator Richard Lugar and Senator Joseph Biden, also were on the trip for their own fact-finding visit.
Hecker narrates the captivating details of the Yongbyon nuclear center visit in Chapter 4 of the book. He chose to be both transparent and conservative in formulating his assessment of the “deterrent” that the North sought to demonstrate to the Americans. The DPRK hosts seemed to appreciate this approach. The government news agency KCNA said in the statement on the visit:
It is our view that if the visit of Lewis and the nuclear specialist [Hecker] and their party helped the U.S. even a bit drop its ambiguous view on the DPRK’s nuclear activities, it would serve as a substantial foundation for a peaceful settlement of the nuclear issue between the DPRK and the U.S. in the future.
On his way back to the US, Hecker attended a conference in Beijing to present an invited talk about North Korea’s nuclear program. The conference was organized by the Program for Science and National Security Studies (PSNSS) of the China Academy of Engineering Physics. Hecker did not describe his visit in any detail but rather presented his thoughts on the “Role of scientists in reaching a peaceful solution to the North Korean nuclear crisis”. The stop in Beijing also gave Hecker the opportunity to learn how the Chinese nuclear experts, who he had known since his first visit to China’s nuclear weapon laboratory in 1994, viewed the sophistication of the North’s nuclear program. He would continue to discuss the North’s nuclear program with the Chinese specialists after all future visits.
In the US, Hecker shared the delegation’s findings and observations, along with his analysis, at hearings of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations. The first session was a closed session, which allowed for classified discussions and allowed for wide-ranging discussion absent the presence of the news media. Next day, he testified at the open session, packed with senators, staffers, and media.
“Visit to the Yongbyon Nuclear Scientific Research Center in North Korea,” Testimony before Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, Jan. 21. 2004
First sense of the country, its people, customs, and institutions
First time in DPRK, Hecker “benefitted greatly” from the many visits that John Lewis had arranged to gain a broader view of the country: a tour around Pyongyang, visit to a large market, the DPRK Academy of Sciences and the Committee for the Promotion of International Trade. At the Tong Il Street market, Hecker bought five small wall paintings. After all, how often do you get to buy something made in North Korea?