August 2001
The NISNP “Core Group” is an informal network of NIS nonproliferation specialists who have participated in any of a variety of NISNP training programs and who maintain ongoing contact with the Center. Periodically, the group convenes in conferences or workshops where individual Core Group members, including government officials, scholars, journalists, and scientists, meet to discuss relevant nonproliferation issues among themselves and with specialists from the United States, other Western countries, and international organizations. The latest full core-group meeting was held in Almaty, Kazakhstan in August 2001.
In the course of past years, NISNP organized several nonproliferation working groups aimed at promoting new research by Core Group members on a number of topics of current proliferation concern. These working groups have been focused on the following general areas: missile proliferation and missile defenses; nuclear trafficking and export controls; and nonproliferation education. Each of these groups met periodically throughout 2001-2002 to compare research and to assign paper topics to its members, based on their interests.
To facilitate communication among its Core Group members, in June 1999 the CNS Almaty office initiated a new electronic Russian-language newsletter, the Vestnik. Since January 2000, Vestnik has been produced from Monterey. The purpose of the newsletter is to provide a forum for discussion of current research, nonproliferation education and training programs, conferences and activities in the region, as well as opportunities for funding.
Records of past meetings are listed below.
Core Group Meeting
August 26–28, 2001
Almaty, Kazakhstan
New Leaderships, New Challenges: Nonproliferation in a Changing World
Conference Summary
On August 27 and 28, 2001, the Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS) at the Monterey Institute of International Studies held a meeting in Almaty, Kazakhstan, to bring together its “core group” of affiliated nonproliferation specialists in the newly independent states (NIS), other NIS nonproliferation experts and officials, and associated Western experts to discuss current international developments and policy issues. Over 105 individuals attended the two-day conference, which included presentations from a variety of senior NIS officials, analysts from NIS non-governmental organizations, and high-ranking representatives of international nonproliferation organizations.
Following welcoming remarks from Kazakhstani Deputy Foreign Minister Kairat Abuseitov, who thanked the Monterey Institute for its extensive and on-going nonproliferation efforts in Central Asia, the conference formally opened with a keynote address by Dr. Vladimir Petrovsky, director-general of the U.N. Conference on Disarmament in Geneva. Dr. Petrovsky noted the need for the international community to move beyond the Cold War and establish new multilateral legal mechanisms to combat proliferation and reduce arms. He particularly called for new and coordinated political efforts by leading states to break out of the existing stalemate in international arms control, noting the positive contribution of unilateral measures but also their fundamental insufficiency for addressing current international problems. Valere Mantels of the U.N. Department of Disarmament Affairs in New York followed with a detailed summary of pressing nonproliferation issues requiring further attention. He focused particular attention on the problem of nuclear delivery systems, noting that the elimination of these systems is called for in the preamble of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. He described the special study now being undertaken at the United Nations on missiles and missile proliferation.
The second panel focused on questions related to the possible establishment of a nuclear-weapon-free zone (NWFZ) in Central Asia. This initiative has made considerable progress since the 1997 Almaty Declaration of the five Central Asian presidents calling for such a zone, with a nearly complete treaty having been negotiated. But final language on a few disputed points has eluded Central Asian diplomats, in large part due to disagreements over the relationship between the proposed NWFZ and prior security commitments undertaken by the states in the region, such as the Tashkent Treaty with Russia. Following an overview of the subject by Dr. Jozef Goldblat, the special consultant to the U.N.-sponsored Central Asian NWFZ experts’ group, officials from four of the five states (Turkmenistan was absent) provided summaries of their national perspectives. The session proved fruitful and highlighted some areas for possible compromise. One idea proposed was the notion that Russian conventional defense commitments to the Central Asian members of the Tashkent Treaty might be reaffirmed, but the option of redeploying nuclear weapons in the region would be ruled out. A Russian military analyst attending the meeting, however, reiterated Russia’s need to keep its defensive options open for possible redeployment of tactical nuclear weapons into the region in case of threats stemming from Afghanistan or other unforeseen problems. The Uzbekistani government offered to host the next meeting of the Central Asian experts’ group in Samarkand to continue work on the treaty.
The third panel of the conference analyzed current harmful trends in U.S.-NIS (and especially U.S.-Russian) nonproliferation relations. After a largely pessimistic review of nonproliferation developments in Washington by Dr. William Potter of CNS, Dr. Alexander Pikayev of the Carnegie Moscow Center provided a more optimistic analysis of chances for U.S.-Russian cooperation, especially with regard to a deal on arms control and missile defenses between Presidents Bush and Putin. Vahram Gabrielyan of the Armenia Ministry of Foreign Affairs commented that recent problems in the U.S.-Russian relationship have created new difficulties for other states in the NIS and have reduced opportunities for cooperative nonproliferation efforts.
In the final panel of the first day, analysts from several countries discussed missile proliferation and missile defense questions. Dr. Clay Moltz of CNS provided a history of U.S. missile defense policies since the 1950s and explained current rationales for national missile defense (NMD) within the Bush administration, concluding with an analysis of likely budget and political problems ahead for Bush’s NMD plans. Gen. Vasily Lata of the PIR Center described Russia’s objections to modification or withdrawal from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty (ABM Treaty) and efforts to comply with the Missile Technology Control Regime, while Alexei Shirokov of Rosaviakosmos provided a summary of advances in the Russian export control system regarding missile and space technologies. Ivan Safranchuk of the Center for Defense Information Moscow office and Oleksandr Sushko from the Ukrainian Center for Peace, Conversion, and Foreign Policy provided expert but sobering commentary on changes for a successful resolution of U.S.-NIS differences on ABM Treaty issues and implications for broader relations.
The second day of the meeting opened with a panel on recent developments in NIS export controls, chaired by Dr. Elina Kirichenko of the Institute on the World Economy and International Relations in Moscow. Dr. Valeriy Korablyov of the non-governmental Export Control Service Center in Almaty provided a highly detailed summary of the development of the Kazakhstani export system, as well as current shortcomings and areas requiring better inter-departmental coordination. Dr. Galina Malinovskaya of the Russian Ministry of Atomic Energy summarized her organization’s new policies and answered questions about current problem areas identified by members of the audience, particularly in regards to recent deals with India.
The second panel provided an extended discussion of the status of nonproliferation education, with a particular focus on the NIS experience to date. Professor Ildar Akhtamzyan provided a masterful overview of the history of nonproliferation education in Russia, tracing its roots to the work of Ambassador Roland Timerbayev and the training efforts he conducted for a variety of young NIS professors at CNS at the Monterey Institute in the early 1990s. He described the continuing effects of the CNS training program as a kind of “chain reaction” in stimulating nonproliferation educational efforts in Russia. Presentations providing information on specific programs at various institutes and universities were offered by Professor Eduard Kryuchkov (MEPhI, Moscow), Dr. Irina Koupriyanova (Russian Methodological Training Center, Obninsk), Professor Sergei Galaka (Kiev University), Anton Khlopkov (PIR Center), Professor Lyaila Ivatova (KazGU, Kazakhstan), Dr. Alla Karimova (Institute of International Relations and Diplomacy, Uzbekistan), and Dr. Elena Mounts (CNS). The presentations provided evidence of a wide variety of training methods and audiences in existing nonproliferation programs. The panelists agreed that it would be useful to hold a future conference for professors and instructors to compare methodologies and exchange syllabi and course materials.
The conference concluded with an afternoon roundtable discussion of activities taking place in various nonproliferation non-governmental organizations and centers throughout the NIS. Twenty-six speakers took the floor to describe their current research, teaching, or conference activities, testifying to the increasing breadth and vibrancy of the NIS nonproliferation community. Despite emerging disagreements on nonproliferation and arms control issues at the international level, the eagerness of participants to exchange information and forge new contacts across national boundaries was one of the most hopeful results of the 2001 CNS core-group meeting in Almaty.
Participants
Dr. Kairat Abousseitov, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Kazakhstan
Dr. Alim Aikimbayev, Scientific Center for Quarantine and Zoonotic Infections, Kazakhstan
Ms. Aigerim Aitkhozhina, Al-Farabi State University, Kazakhstan
Dr. Ildar Akhtamzyan, Moscow State University of International Relations, Russia
Ms. Sarmite Andersson, Swedish Nuclear Inspectorate, Sweden
Dr. Bakhyt Atshabar, Scientific Center for Quarantine and Zoonotic Infections, Kazakhstan
Mr. Gerald Backen, Department of Energy, USA
Ms. Zhanna Bakauova, UN Representative Office, Kazakhstan
Mr. Arman Baisuanov, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Kazakhstan
Mr. David Barber, Cooperative Monitoring Center, USA
Mr. Dair Bayadilov, St. Petersburg Technical University, Russia
Mr. Sagadat Bralin, ZAO “IVT-ASTANA,” Kazakhstan
Mr. Sergey Chetvergov, Committee for Atomic Energy, Kazakhstan
Dr. Volodymyr Chumak, Research Center for Nonproliferation Problems, Ukraine
Ms. Joyce Connery, Argonne National Laboratory, USA
Mr. Eric Deschler, Argonne National Laboratory, USA
Dr. Akram Djurayev, Agency of Atomic Energy, Tajikistan
Dr. Dastan Eleukenov, CNS NIS Representative Office, Kazakhstan
Mr. Vahram Gabrielyan, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Armenia
Dr. Sergei Galaka, Kyiv National University, Ukraine
Mr. Jakhongir Ganiyev, Parliament of Uzbekistan
Dr. Jozef Goldblat, United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research, Geneva
Ms. Gulnur Isayeva, Institute for Nonproliferation, Kazakhstan
Dr. Lyaila Ivatova, Al-Farabi State University, Kazakhstan
Mr. Evgeniy Kablukov, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Kyrgyzstan
Mr. Evgeniy Kachkayev, Export Control Service Center, Almaty
Dr. Kairat Kadyrzhanov, Institute of Nuclear Physics in Alatau, Kazakhstan
Dr. Kazimir Karimov, Antinuclear Movement, Kyrgyzstan
Dr. Erlan Karin, Agency of Political Research, Kazakhstan
Ms. Togzhan Kassenova, Institute for Politics & International Studies (POLIS), University of Leeds, United Kingdom
Mr. Bolatbek Kekilov, Parliament of Kazakhstan
Mr. Anton Khlopkov, Center for Policy Studies, Russia
Dr. Elina Kirichenko, Institute of World Economy & International Relations, Russia
Mr. Piet de Klerk, International Atomic Energy Agency
Dr. Valeriy Korablyov, Export Control Service Center, Kazakhstan
Col. Stanislav Kornyushin, Ministry of Defense, Kazakhstan
Amb. Andreas Körting, Embassy of Germany to Kazakhstan
Ms. Irina Koupriyanova, Institute of Physics & Power Engineering in Obninsk, Russia
Mr. Dmitriy Kovchegin, Center for Policy Studies, Russia
Dr. Eduard Kryuchkov, Moscow Engineering & Physics Institute, Russia
Dr. Kairat Kuterbekov, Institute of Nuclear Physics, Alatau, Kazakhstan
Gen. Vasiliy Lata, Center for Policy Studies, Russia
Dr. Murat Laumulin, Embassy of the Republic of Kazakhstan to Germany
Dr. Gennadiy Lepyoshkin, Kazakhstan
Mr. Makhamadali Likoyev, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Tajikistan
Dr. Seidigapbar Mamadaliyev, Scientific Agricultural Research Institute, Kazakhstan
Ms. Galina Manilovskaya, Ministry of Atomic Energy, Russia
Mr. Valere Mantels, United Nations Organization
Mr. Eric Martens, Los Alamos National Laboratory, USA
Mr. Chingiz Masenov, Committee for Atomic Energy, Kazakhstan
Col. Asylbek Mendygaliyev, Ministry of Defense, Kazakhstan
Dr. Clay Moltz, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, USA
Dr. Elena Mounts, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, USA
Ms. Maira Mukusheva, National Nuclear Center, Kazakhstan
Ms. Monica O’Keefe, United States Embassy to Kazakhstan
Dr. Tamara Pataraya, Caucasian Institute for Peace, Democracy, & Development, Georgia
Dr. Vyacheslau Paznyak, International Institute for Policy Studies, Belarus
Mr. Vyacheslav Petrov, Health Protection Agency, Kazakhstan
Amb. Vladimir Petrovsky, Conference on Disarmament, Geneva
Dr. Alexander Pikayev, Moscow Carnegie Center, Russia
Ms. Irina Prohodtseva, Nuclear Technologies Safety Center, Kazakhstan
Dr. William Potter, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, USA
Ms. Melissa Russell, Embassy of the United States to Kazakhstan
Mr. Ivan Safranchuk, Moscow Office of the Center For Defense Information, Russia
Ms. Aziza Saidaliyeva, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Uzbekistan
Mr. Tashmuhamed Satiboldiyev, Silk Road Research Center, Uzbekistan
Mr. Dosym Satpayev, Institute for Peace & War Reporting, Kazakhstan
Mr. Anatoly Scherba, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ukraine
Mr. Arakel Semirjyan, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Armenia
Ms. Margarita Sevcik, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, USA
Mr. She Ze, Embassy of People’s Republic of China to Kazakhstan
Mr. Alexei Shirokov, Russian Space Agency, Russia
Mr. Andrei Sintsov, Moscow Engineering Physics Institute, Russia
Mr. Alexander Siver, Scientific and Technical Center on Export and Import of Special Technologies, Hardware, and Materials, Ukraine
Ms. Ekaterina Shkolnik, Kazakhstan
Mr. Daniyar Smagulov, CNS NIS Representative Office, Kazakhstan
Ms. Kholisa Sodikova, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Uzbekistan
Dr. Vladimir Solodukhin, Institute of Nuclear Physics in Alatau, Kazakhstan
Mr. Bulat Sultanov, Institute of Strategic Studies, Kazakhstan
Dr. Olexandr Sushko, Center for Peace, Conversion, and Foreign Policy, Ukraine
Ms. Guzal Taipova, Nonproliferation Association of Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan
Mr. Alexander Tarasov, Russian State Duma, Russia
Ms. Alevtina Tichshenko, Embassy of the United States to Kazakhstan
Dr. Tamara Troyakova, Far Eastern Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Russia
Mr. Leonid Tsarev, Export Control Service Center, Kazakhstan
Col. Oleg Umanets, Embassy of the Russian Federation to Kazakhstan
Mr. Arslanbek Umetaliyev, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Kyrgyzstan
Mr. Marat Usupov, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Kyrgyzstan
Mr. Shota Utiashvili, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Georgia
Mr. Lars van Dassen, Swedish Nuclear Inspectorate, Sweden
Mr. Alexander Vetsko, Moscow Carnegie Center, Russia
Ms. Marina Voronova, CNS NIS Representative Office, Kazakhstan
Ms. Gulnara Yeligbayeva, Committee for Atomic Energy, Kazakhstan
Dr. Timur Zhantikin, Committee for Atomic Energy of Kazakhstan
Ms. Nataliya Zhdanova, National Nuclear Center, Kazakhstan
Agenda
Monday, August 27
8:00 – 9:00 Registration of meeting participants
9:00 – 9:20 Welcoming remarks
Kazakhstani Deputy Foreign Minister Kairat Abuseitov; William Potter and Dastan Eleukenov, CNS
9:20 – 9:50 Keynote speaker on International Nonproliferation Policy
Vladimir Petrovsky, Director-General, Conference on Disarmament, Geneva
9:50 – 10:05 Questions
10:05 – 10:20 U.N. Perspectives on Current Nonproliferation Issues
Valere Mantels, United Nations, New York
10:20 – 10:30 Discussion
Nonproliferation Issues in Central Asia (Chair: William Potter)
10:45 – 11:15 Overview of Nonproliferation Issues in Central Asia
Jozef Goldblat, UNIDIR, Geneva
11:15 – 11:45 The IAEA’s Role in Central Asia
Piet de Klerk, IAEA, Vienna
11:45 – 12: 30 Country Perspectives
Kazakhstan, Arman Baisuanov, MFA
Kyrgyzstan, Marat Usupov, MFA
Tajikistan, Akram Djurayev, Atomic Energy Agency, Tajikistan
Uzbekistan, Alla Karimova, MFA
12:30 – 12:45 Discussion
12:45 – 1:00 Group photo
Reversing Harmful Trends in U.S.-NIS Nonproliferation Policy (Chair: Dastan Eleukenov)
2:00 – 2:20 U.S. Nonproliferation Policy under Bush
William Potter, CNS
2:20 – 2:40 Russian Nonproliferation Policy under Putin
Alexander Pikayev, Carnegie, Moscow
2:40 – 2:55 Comments
Vahram Gabrielyan, Armenian MFA
2:55 – 3:15 Discussion
Missile Proliferation and Control Efforts (Chair: Volodymyr Chumak)
3:30 – 3:45 U.S. Missile Defense Policy under the Bush Administration
Clay Moltz, CNS
3:45 – 4:00 Russian Perspectives on Missile Defense and the ABM Treaty
Gen. Vasily Lata, PIR Center, Moscow
4:00 – 4:15 Space Cooperation as a Missile Nonproliferation Tool
Alexey Shirokov, Rosaviakosmos, Moscow
4:15 – 4:30 Comments
Ivan Safranchuk, CDI, Moscow
Oleksandr Sushko, Center for Peace, Conversion and Foreign Policy of Ukraine
4:30 – 5:15 Discussion
6:30 – 9:00 Reception
Tuesday, August 28
Smuggling and Export Control Issues (Chair: Elina Kirichenko)
9:00 – 9:15 Recent Reforms in Kazakhstani Export Control System
Valeriy Korablyov, Turan University, Almaty
9:15 – 9:30 Recent Developments in Minatom’s Export Control System
Galina Manilovskaya, Minatom
9:30 – 10:00 Discussion
Improving Effectiveness of Nonproliferation Education (Chair: Vyacheslau Paznyak)
10:00 – 10:30 Overview of Nonproliferation Education Issues
Ildar Akhtamzyan, MGIMO
10:45 – 10:55 Lessons from the Moscow Engineering Physics Institute
Eduard Kryuchkov, MEPhI
10:55 – 11:05 Lessons from the Russian Methodological Training Center
Irina Koupriyanova, IPPE, Obninsk
11:05 – 11:15 Teaching Nonproliferation in Ukrainian Universities
Sergei Galaka, Kyiv University
11:15 – 11:25 NGO Experience in Teaching Nonproliferation in Russia
Anton Khlopkov, PIR Center
11:25 – 11:35 Teaching Nonproliferation in Kazakhstani Universities
Lyaila Ivatova, KazGU
11:35 – 11:45 Nonproliferation Education in Uzbekistan
Alla Karimova, MFA, Uzbekistan
11:45 – 11:55 Teaching English for Nonproliferation
Elena Mounts, CNS
11:55 – 12:30 Discussion
NGO-academic roundtable discussion of current activities and research among participants (Chair: Clay Moltz)
Export Control Working Group Meeting
June 11 – 12, 2001
Hotel Dostyk, Almaty, Kazakhstan
The Export Control Working Group met June 11 – 12, 2001, in Almaty to compare research and to discuss recent developments in export control systems of the NIS. In attendance were 20 individuals, including nongovernmental organization analysts and government officials, from Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Tajikistan, Ukraine, and the United States.
In keeping with the CNS goal of fostering a community of nonproliferation specialists, the purpose of the Export Control Working Group is to encourage professional contacts between NIS specialists in nonproliferation export controls and to promote collaborative research and policy initiatives on current issues.
Presentations and discussions centered on multilateral export control regimes, illicit trafficking, recent changes in the export control systems of Russia and Kazakhstan, and export control programs within Russian and Ukrainian enterprises.
Agenda
Opening Remarks
Dr. Scott Parrish, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute of International Studies, USA
Recent Changes in Russia’s Export Control System
Dr. Elina Kirichenko, Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Moscow, Russia
Recent Changes in Kazakhstan’s Export Control System
Arman Baisuanov, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Astana, Kazakhstan
The Transit Agreement and Export Controls
Sagadat Bralin, IVT, Astana, Kazakhstan
Roundtable Discussion: Problems of Multilateral Export Control Regimes
The Role of Ministries and Agencies in Russian Export Control Policy
Dr. Elina Kirichenko, Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Moscow, Russia
The Development of Control Programs at Russian Enterprises
Vladimir Sidorenko, Center for Export Control Issues, Moscow, Russia
The Development of Control Programs at Russian Enterprises
Vladimir Stolyar, Scientific and Technical Center on Export and Import of Special Technologies, Hardware and Materials
Overview of Illicit Trafficking of Nuclear Materials in the NIS
Dr. Scott Parrish, CNS
Nuclear Contraband in Russia
Dmitri Kovchegin, PIR Center, Moscow, Russia
Roundtable Discussion: The Export of Intangibles, Brain Drain, and other New Export Control Issues
Core Group Meeting
November 16-17, 1998
Almaty, Kazakhstan
The Newly Independent States Nonproliferation Program (NISNP) of the Center for Nonproliferation Studies held its annual conference in the former Soviet Union in Almaty, Kazakhstan, on 16-17 November 1998. The conference brought together over 90 participants from Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Tajikistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan. Others attending included nonproliferation experts from the United States, China, and South Korea, as well as senior officials from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
Conference participants at the Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Kazakhstan
The conference focused on the topic of “Proliferation Problems and Nonproliferation Initiatives: Approaching the 21st Century.” Panels at the conference addressed the implications of the South Asian nuclear tests, issues surrounding the creation of a Central Asian nuclear-weapons-free zone, nuclear safety at former Soviet facilities, and chemical and biological weapons issues. The conference received extensive media coverage in Central Asia and Russia and several participants–including CNS Director Dr. William Potter and NISNP Director Dr. Clay Moltz–provided interviews that appeared on television, radio, or newspapers.
Professor William Potter, CNS Director, at the opening banquet
This year’s meeting marked the first time that the CNS has brought members of its new East Asia Nonproliferation Program core group (consisting of recent Chinese alumni of the nonproliferation training program at CNS) together with members of its already extensive core group from the former Soviet Union. At a reception during the conference, the CNS officially inaugurated its new NIS branch office in Almaty, which was opened in August 1998 by on-site NISNP staff members Martin Daughtry and Emily Ewell Daughtry.
Other CNS staff attending the conference included NISNP Senior Scholar-in-Residence Dr. John Lepingwell, Senior Scientist-in-Residence Dr. Raymond Zalinskas, and Senior Research Associate Dr. Scott Parrish. NISNP Program Coordinator Sheri Deeter also helped in the organization of the meeting from Monterey.
Participants
1. Col. Dosal Abraimov, Center for Arms Control and Inspections, Ministry of Defense, Kazakhstan
2. Mr. Daulet Absatov, Senior Specialist, Kazakhstan Atomic Energy Agency, Kazakhstan
3. Ms. Leila Baishina, United Nations Development Program, Almaty, United Nations
4. Mr. Arman Baisuanov, Second Secretary, First Department, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Kazakhstan
5. Ms. Zhanna Bakauova, Independent Researcher, Almaty, Kazakhstan
6. Mr. David Bakradze, Head, Department of Arms Control and Disarmament, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Georgia
7. Mr. Zhiger Basen, Research Associate, Center for Central Asian and Strategic Studies, Kainar University, Kazakhstan
8. Mr. Ergall Bayadilov, Head of Sector, Secretariat, Security Council, Kazakhstan
9. Ms. Asel Bazarbayeva, Project Manager, Problemy Nerasprostraneniya, Nonproliferation Association of Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan
10. Ms. Helen Bird, Program Specialist, International Policy and Analysis Division, U.S. Department of Energy, USA
11. Col. Leonid Bondarets, Senior Expert, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan
12. Dr. Gulbarshyn Bozheyeva, Independent Researcher, Almaty, Kazakhstan
13. Dr. Irina Chernikh, Assistant Professor, Department of International Relations, Al-Farabi Kazakhstan State University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
14. Dr. Volodymyr Chumak, Head of Department of Foreign Policy, National Institute for Strategic Studies, Kyiv, Ukraine
15. Dr. Richard Combs, Advisor, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute, USA
16. Ms. Emily E. Daughtry, Co-Director, NIS Representative Office, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute, USA
17. Mr. J. Martin Daughtry, Co-Director, NIS Representative Office, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute, USA
18. Dr. Deng Hongmei, Associate Professor, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
19. Dr. Dastan Eleukenov, Advisor to the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Kazakhstan
20. Dr. Andrei Fedarau, Senior Researcher, International Institute for Policy Studies, Minsk, Belarus
21. Ms. Evgenia Filipenko, Attache, Department of Nonproliferation and Export Controls, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ukraine
22. Dr. Sergei Galaka, Professor, Ukrainian Institute for International Relations, Kyiv University, Ukraine
23. Dr. Vasily Glebov, Moscow Engineering and Physics Institute, Moscow, Russia
24. Dr. Lyubov Golyanskaya, Deputy Director, National Center for Biotechnology, Stepnogorsk, Kazakhstan
25. Mr. Andrew Grauer, Representative, Argonne National Laboratory, Almaty, Kazakhstan, USA
26. Dr. HAN Hua, Professor, Institute of Asian and African Studies, Beijing University, Beijing, China
27. Mr. David Hoffman, Moscow Bureau Chief, Washington Post, USA
28. Dr. Zharas Ibrashev, Dean, Department of International Relations, Kainar University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
29. Col. Alshager Ishpanov, Center for Arms Control and Inspections, Ministry of Defense, Kazakhstan
30. Dr. Jenish Kadrakunov, Advisor to the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Kyrgyzstan
31. Ms. Daria Kairgeldina, First Secretary, First Department, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Kazakhstan
32. Mr. Nikolai Khlebnikov, Director, Division of Technical Services, International Atomic Energy Agency, IAEA
33. Dr. Mustafa Kibaroglu, Bilkent University, Ankara, Turkey
34. Mr. KIM Moon-hwan, First Secretary, Permanant Mission of the Republic of Korea to the United Nations, Republic of Korea
35. Dr. Elina Kirichenko, Senior Researcher, Institute of World Economy and Diplomacy, Moscow, Russia
36. Mr. Pieter de Klerk, Director, Office of External Relations and Policy Co-ordination, International Atomic Energy Agency, IAEA
37. Dr. Eduard Kryuchkov, Moscow Engineering and Physics Institute, Moscow, Russia
38. Mr. Erlan Kunalkbayev, Independent Researcher, Almaty, Kazakhstan
39. Dr. Murat Laumulin, Embassy of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Germany
40. Dr. Gennadiy Lepyoshkin, Director, National Center for Biotechnology, Stepnogorsk, Kazakhstan
41. Dr. John Lepingwell, Senior Scholar-in-Residence, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute, USA
42. Mr. Lee Litzenberger, Pol/Econ Section Chief, Embassy of the United States of America to the Rep. of Kazakhstan, USA
43. Dr. Sergei Lopatin, Head of Safeguards, Ministry of Environmental Protection and Nuclear Safety, Ukraine
44. Dr. Klara Malkasheva, Assistant Professor, Department of International Relations, Al-Farabi Kazakhstan State University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
45. Mr. Erkin Mamkulov, Department Head, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Kyrgyzstan
46. Dr. Alexandre Mansourov, Korean Center, Harvard University, Russia
47. Mr. Ara Margarian, Third Secretary, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Armenia
48. Mr. Chingis Masenov, Deputy Department Head, Kazakhstan Atomic Energy Agency, Kazakhstan
49. Dr. Viktor Mizin, Chief Counsel, Department of International Organizations, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Russia
50. Dr. J. Clay Moltz, Director, NIS Nonproliferation Program, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute, USA
51. Dr. Elkhan Nuriyev, Director, Center for International Studies, University of the Caucasus, Azerbaijan
52. Mr. Seitkaze Okasov, Committee for National Security, Kazakhstan
53. Mr. Pavel Oleinikov, All-Russian Scientific Research Institute of Technical Physics, Snezhinsk, Russia
54. Dr. Oleg Olkhov, Senior Science Fellow, Institute of Chemical Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Russia
55. Dr. Vladimir Orlov, Director, Center for Policy Studies in Russia, Moscow, Russia
56. Mr. Erkin Orolbaev, Head of Department, International Institute of Strategic Studies, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan
57. Mr. Anatoliy Ostapenko, State Service for Export Controls, Kyiv, Ukraine
58. Dr. Yuri Ostroumov, Division of Nonproliferation and Control, Kurchatov Institute, Moscow, Russia
59. Ms. Ekaterina Pankratova, International Science and Technology Center, Moscow. Russia
60. Dr. Scott Parrish, Senior Research Associate, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute, USA
61. Dr. Vyacheslau Paznyak, Director, International Institute for Policy Studies, Minsk, Belarus
62. Ms. Yulia Petrenko, Research Associate, Institute of Strategic and Regional Studies Under the President of Uzbekistan, Uzbekistan
63. Dr. Alexander Pikayev, Research Director, Committee for Critical Technologies and Nonproliferation, Moscow, Russia
64. Dr. William Potter, Director, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute, USA
65. Dr. Gennadiy Pshakin, Head, International Department, Institute of Physics and Power Engineering, Obninsk, Russia
66. Amb. RHEE Young-min, Embassy of the Republic of Korea to the Republic of Kazakhstan, Republic of Korea
67. Mr. RO Sung-min, First Secretary, Embassy of the Republic of Korea to the Republic of Kazakhstan, Republic of Korea
68. Ms. Theresa Sabonis-Helf, Environment and Energy Policy Advisor, EPIC, Almaty, USA
69. Ms. Aziza Saidalieva, Division of Political Analysis and Prognosis, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Uzbekistan
70. Dr. Rafik Salifulin, Deputy Director, Institute of Strategic and Regional Studies under the President of Uzbekistan
71. Mr. Tashmukhamed Satiboldiev, Department Head, Div. of Political Analysis and Prognosis, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Uzbekistan
72. Dr. Valentin Sergienko, Deputy Chairman, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Vladivostok, Russia
73. Amb. SHA Zukang, Director-General, Arms Control and Disarmament Department, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, China
74. Mr. Nuriddin Shamsov, Deputy Chief, Department of International Organizations, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Tajikistan
75. Dr. Vyacheslav Sharov, Chair of Diagnostic Imaging, Ural Institute for Advanced Training of Physicians, Chelyabinsk, Russia
76. Mr. Barlyk Shaykenov, Minister-Counselor, Embassy of the Republic of Kyrgyzstan to the Republic of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan
77. Ms. Ekaterina Shkolnik, Diplomatic Academy, Moscow, Russia
78. Dr. Vladimir Shkolnik, Minister of Science – President, Academy of Sciences, Kazakhstan
79. Dr. Alexander Sitnikov, Deputy Director, Institute of Geophysics, National Nuclear Center, Kazakhstan
80. Mr. Alexander Siver, Director, Science and Technology Center for Export and Import Control, Kyiv, Ukraine
81. Mr. Abybay Smagulov, Director, Division of information Analysis and Planning, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Kazakhstan
82. Adam Sterling, Political Officer, Embassy of the United States of America to the Republic of Kazakhstan, USA
83. Ms. SUN Jianting, Third Secretary, Embassy of the People’s Republic of China to the Republic of Kazakhstan, China
84. Dr. Irina Tazhibaeva, Director, Nuclear Technology Safety Center, Almaty, Kazakhstan
85. Ms. Guzel Taipova, President, Nonproliferation Association of Kazakhstan, Almaty, Kazakhstan
86. Amb. (ret’d) Roland Timerbaev, Moscow, Russia
87. Dr. Olga Tyupkina, Executive Director, Institute for Nonproliferation, Almaty, Kazakhstan
88. Mr. Noor Umarov, Program Management Coordinator, Red Crescent Society, Dushanbe, Tajikistan
89. Dr. Almazhan Utegalieva, Vice-Dean, Department of International Relations, Kainar University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
90. Mr. Alexander Vetsko, Program Assistant, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Moscow, Russia
91. Col. Guy White, On-Site Inspection Agency, US Department of Defense, USA
92. Ms. XIAO Gang, Arms Control and Disarmament Department, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, China
93. Mr. YANG Hui, Military Attache, Embassy of the People’s Republic of China to the Republic of Kazakhstan, China
94. Mr. Zhandos Zeyneshev, Deputy Director, Center for European Studies, Kainar University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
95. Dr. Ray Zilinskas, Senior Scientist in Residence, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute, Washington, DC, USA
96. Mr. Dudar Zhakenov, First Secretary, First Department, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Kazakhstan
Agenda
The Annual NIS Conference of the Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the
Monterey Institute of International Studies
on
Proliferation Problems and Nonproliferation Initiatives:
Approaching the 21st Century
16-17 November 1998
Ministry of Science – Academy of Sciences Building (3rd Floor)
Almaty, Kazakhstan
-AGENDA-
Day 1: Monday, 16 November
08:30 Registration/check-in
09:00 Welcome/opening remarks
Vadimir Shkolnik, Minister of Science – President of the Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Kazakhstan
William Potter, Director, Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS), Monterey Institute of International Studies, USA
09:20 Keynote Addresses
Pieter de Klerk, Director, Division of External Relations and Policy Co-ordination, International Atomic Energy Agency
Ambassador Sha Zukang, Director General, Department of Ams Control and Disarmament, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China
10:45 Coffee Break
PANEL I: Perspectives on South Asia
Chair and Commentator: Ambassador (ret’d) Roland Timerbaev, Russian Federation
11:00 A Russian View of the South Asian Tests
Victor Mizin, Chief Counsel International Organizations Department, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation
The Troubled NPT Enhanced Review Process
William Potter, Monterey Institute of International Studies
Russia’s Export Relationship with India
Elina Kirichenko, Senior Researcher, Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Federation
Implications of the South Asian Tests: A View from Central Asia
Dastan Eleukenov, Advisor to the Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Kazakhstan
12:30 Lunch (Circular Hall, Dom Druzhby 40 Kurmangazy Street)
PANEL II: Implementation of New Nonproliferation Measures
Chair: Nikolai Khlebnikov, Director, Division of Technical Services, International Atomic Energy Agency
14:15 Russian Material Protection, Control & Accounting Upgrades: Problems and Prospects
Gennadiy Pshakin, Head, International Department, Institute of Physics and Power Engineering, Russian Federation
Status of Nuclear Material Protection, Control & Accounting in Ukraine
Sergei Lopatin, Head of Safeguards, Ministry of Environmental Protection and Nuclear Safety of Ukraine
Status of and Problems with the State System for Nuclear Material Control in Kazakhstan
Chingiz Masenov, Deputy Head, Department of Contralfor the Nonproliferation of Nuclear Materials and Technologies, Kazakhstan Atomic Energy Agency
Removal of HEU Fuel from Georgia
David Bakradze, Head, Disarmament and Arms Control Division, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Georgia
Auburn Endeavor: A U.S. Perspective
Helen Bird, Program Specialist, International Policy and Analysis Division, U.S. Department of Energy
16:00 Coffee Break
16:20 CTBT Verification: The Technical Role of the Kazakhstani National Nuclear Center
Alexander Sitnikov, Deputy Director, Institute of Geophysical Research, National Nuclear Center, Republic of Kazakhstan
Review of Defense Conversion Programs in Minatom’s Closed Cities
Pavel Oleinikov, RFNC-VNIITF, Russian Federation
Nuclear Submarine Proliferation and Possible Responses
Clay Moltz, Director, NIS Nonproliferation Program, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute of International Studies, USA
-END OF DAY 1 PROCEEDINGS-
19:00 Reception and Official Opening of CNS NIS Representative Office
(Second-floor banquet hall, Hotel Dostyk, 36 Kurmangazy Street)
Day 2: Tuesday, 17 November
PANEL III: Regional Perspectives on Nonproliferation
09:00 The Central Asian Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zone
Chair: William Potter, Monterey Institute of International Studies
Daria Kairgeldina, First Secretary, First Department, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Kazakhstan
Erkin Mamkulov, Chief, Department of International Organizations, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Kyrgyz Republic
Tashmukhamed Satiboldiev, Head of Division, Department of Political Analysis and Prognosis, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Uzbekistan
Nuriddin Shamsov, Deputy Chief, Department of International 0rganizations, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Tajikistan
Commentator: Victor Mizin, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation
10:30 Coffee Break
10:45 Perspectives on the Middle East
Chair: Vyacheslau Paznyak, Director, International Institute for Policy Studies, Republic of Belarus
Rafik Saifulin, Deputy Director, Institute for Strategic and Regional Studies under the President of Uzbekistan
Mustafa Kibaroglu, Bilkent University, Ankara, Turkey
Alexander Pikayev, Research Director, Center for Critical Technologies and Nonproliferation, Russian Federation
Commentator: Vladimir Orlov, Director, PIR Center, Moscow, Russian Federation
12:00 DPRK: Status of the Agreed Framework and KEDO
Alexandre Mansourov, Korean Center, Harvard University, USA
12:30 Lunch (Circular Hall, Dom Druzhby 40 Kurmangazy Street)
PANEL IV: Chemical/ Biological Weapons Issues
Chair and Commentator: Gennadiy Lepyoshkin, Director General, National Center for Biotechnology, Republic of Kazakhstan
14:00 History of the Soviet Biological Weapons Program in Kazakhstan
Gulbarshyn Bozheyeva, Independent Researcher, Republic of Kazakhstan
Assessing the Proliferation Threat of the Former Soviet Union’s Biological Warfare Program
Raymond Zalinskas, Senior Scientist in Residence, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute of International Studies, USA
A Chinese Perspective on Chemical Weapons Issues
Deng Hongmei, Associate Professor, Fudan University, People’s Republic of China
15:20 Coffee Break
15:40 Discussion of Current Activities of Monterey Institute Colleagues
Chair: Clay Moltz, Monterey Institute of International Studies
17:15 -END OF CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS-
